Wind RazorgaleTier 2
at EVO Japan Regional
decks
8
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
37
16-19-2
overall winrate
45.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.6%
avg ELO -1.6 per match
expected value
45.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1223
· median 1172
· range 1069–1519
(8 pilots with an ELO rating)
1002
Q1 1156
Q3 1313
1688
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
38% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Slimes | 10.9% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 36.7% | -7.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.9% | 5 | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 34.1% | -9.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.8% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.7% | +1.1 |
| Wind Allies | 7.8% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 45.3% | -2.7 |
| Slimes | 6.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.5% | -1.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.2% | -12.5 |
| Water Allies | 4.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.1% | -2.8 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 4.7% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 56.3% | +4.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.0% | +1.9 |
| Fire Wind Vanitas | 1.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.0% | +11.5 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.5 |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 44.7% | -5.1 |
