EVO Japan Regional

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	8	12.5%	16-19-2	45.9%	45.6%	45.9%	45.6%	1223	—
2		Fire Slimes	Tier 1	7	10.9%	14-14-2	50.0%	52.1%	51.7%	52.7%	1191	↓ low
3		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 1	7	10.9%	20-12-3	61.4%	58.3%	53.1%	52.8%	1255	—
4		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	5	7.8%	12-11-2	52.0%	45.8%	50.4%	47.6%	1283	—
5		Wind Allies	Tier 2	5	7.8%	7-11-1	39.5%	41.5%	49.9%	50.1%	1186	↓ low
6		Slimes	Tier 1	4	6.2%	9-6-0	60.0%	57.6%	52.6%	52.5%	1278	—
7		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	4	6.2%	8-9-2	47.4%	52.4%	49.2%	51.3%	1273	—
8		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	3	4.7%	8-7-1	53.1%	46.3%	51.5%	49.3%	1393	↑ top
9		Water Allies	Tier 2	3	4.7%	8-8-2	50.0%	51.0%	48.2%	49.1%	1327	↑ top
10		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	3	4.7%	5-9-1	36.7%	43.2%	45.6%	47.7%	1272	—
11		Water Penguin Mill	Tier 1	3	4.7%	9-8-0	52.9%	46.0%	50.9%	49.0%	1330	↑ top
12		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	2	3.1%	0-3-0	0.0%	30.9%	40.0%	41.2%	1179	↓ low
13		Fire Astra Cleric	Tier 2	2	3.1%	8-5-2	60.0%	63.1%	54.9%	56.8%	1355	↑ top
14		Fire Exia	Tier 2	2	3.1%	4-3-1	56.2%	58.1%	50.7%	52.1%	1252	—
15		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 3	1	1.6%	0-1-0	0.0%	40.6%	40.0%	40.6%	1195	—
16		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 3	1	1.6%	1-4-0	20.0%	35.0%	43.3%	44.0%	1144	↓ low
17		Fire Wind Vanitas	Tier 3	1	1.6%	2-3-1	41.7%	49.1%	42.2%	44.5%	1096	↓ low
18		Water Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	1.6%	7-1-1	83.3%	75.6%	56.2%	57.1%	1426	↑ top
19		Water Umbra Diana	Tier 3	1	1.6%	0-5-0	0.0%	25.6%	40.0%	41.3%	1028	↓ low
20		Wind Lorraine	Tier 2	1	1.6%	3-2-1	58.3%	53.0%	55.1%	53.6%	1210	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Razorgale 8 decks · 12.5%
• Fire Slimes 7 decks · 10.9%
• Water Ravishing Mill 7 decks · 10.9%
• Fire Aggro 5 decks · 7.8%
• Wind Allies 5 decks · 7.8%
• Slimes 4 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Shadowstrike 4 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Crux Mage 3 decks · 4.7%
• Water Allies 3 decks · 4.7%
• Water Crux Mage 3 decks · 4.7%
• Water Penguin Mill 3 decks · 4.7%
• Fire Arcane 2 decks · 3.1%
• Fire Astra Cleric 2 decks · 3.1%
• Fire Exia 2 decks · 3.1%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Wind Vanitas 1 deck · 1.6%
• Water Astra Cleric 1 deck · 1.6%
• Water Umbra Diana 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Lorraine 1 deck · 1.6%