← Plenty of Games Oceania Nationals
Fire ArcaneTier 2
at Plenty of Games Oceania Nationals
decks
3
(2.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
18
8-10-0
overall winrate
44.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.6%
avg ELO -0.5 per match
expected value
44.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1235
· median 1254
· range 1172–1278
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1033
Q1 1180
Q3 1399
1702
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 16.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.7% | +2.6 |
| Wind Allies | 13.2% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 25.9% | -18.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 12.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 9.4% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 48.2% | -1.3 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 9.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.1% | -17.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.3% | -17.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 44.8% | -3.8 |
| Fire Erupting | 7.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 69.4% | +18.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rogue | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.8 |
| Wind Arcane | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diana | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | +16.1 |
| Water Neos | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.6% | +20.2 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Arcane decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
