Plenty of Games Oceania Nationals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Allies	Tier 1	17	16.0%	56-36-11	59.7%	59.7%	56.1%	56.3%	1342	—
2		Wind Allies	Tier 2	14	13.2%	26-39-7	41.0%	42.3%	42.4%	42.8%	1265	—
3		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	13	12.3%	35-29-12	53.9%	53.6%	53.5%	53.4%	1365	↑ top
4		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	10	9.4%	22-27-3	45.2%	45.0%	45.9%	45.7%	1264	—
5		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	10	9.4%	24-26-7	48.2%	43.0%	50.4%	47.1%	1364	↑ top
6		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	8	7.5%	16-23-2	41.5%	44.8%	45.5%	47.0%	1217	↓ low
7		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	8	7.5%	37-21-4	62.9%	61.7%	56.2%	56.1%	1380	↑ top
8		Fire Erupting	Tier 1	8	7.5%	25-21-1	54.3%	56.6%	52.5%	54.1%	1287	—
9		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	3	2.8%	8-10-0	44.4%	48.6%	44.5%	45.6%	1235	↓ low
10		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 3	2	1.9%	5-7-0	41.7%	39.6%	46.4%	44.6%	1270	—
11	?	Rogue	Tier 3	2	1.9%	0-2-0	0.0%	31.5%	40.0%	39.0%	1182	↓ low
12		Water Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	2	1.9%	13-5-0	72.2%	71.4%	58.3%	59.5%	1317	—
13		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	2	1.9%	4-4-1	50.0%	54.2%	48.7%	49.8%	1228	↓ low
14		Wind Arcane	Tier 3	2	1.9%	2-5-0	28.6%	34.8%	45.5%	45.0%	1239	↓ low
15		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 3	1	0.9%	2-4-0	33.3%	38.2%	42.2%	41.5%	1391	↑ top
16		Fire Diana	Tier 3	1	0.9%	1-2-0	33.3%	43.4%	47.1%	47.0%	1171	↓ low
17		Fire Neos	Tier 3	1	0.9%	1-2-0	33.3%	46.1%	47.3%	50.0%	1111	↓ low
18		Water Neos	Tier 3	1	0.9%	0-2-0	0.0%	30.5%	40.0%	38.3%	1162	↓ low
19		Water Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	0.9%	4-2-0	66.7%	55.6%	55.8%	52.9%	1702	↑ top
20		Wind Beast	Tier 3	1	0.9%	2-5-0	28.6%	37.3%	45.5%	45.9%	1153	↓ low
21		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 3	1	0.9%	0-4-0	0.0%	25.6%	40.0%	40.2%	1100	↓ low
22		Wind Neos	Tier 3	1	0.9%	0-3-0	0.0%	23.6%	36.5%	33.5%	1141	↓ low
23		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 3	1	0.9%	1-5-0	16.7%	30.8%	44.0%	44.3%	1268	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Allies 17 decks · 16.0%
• Wind Allies 14 decks · 13.2%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 13 decks · 12.3%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 10 decks · 9.4%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 10 decks · 9.4%
• Fire Aggro 8 decks · 7.5%
• Fire Crux Mage 8 decks · 7.5%
• Fire Erupting 8 decks · 7.5%
• Fire Arcane 3 decks · 2.8%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 1.9%
• ? Rogue 2 decks · 1.9%
• Water Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 1.9%
• Water Crux Mage 2 decks · 1.9%
• Wind Arcane 2 decks · 1.9%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 1 deck · 0.9%
• Fire Diana 1 deck · 0.9%
• Fire Neos 1 deck · 0.9%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 0.9%
• Water Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 0.9%
• Wind Beast 1 deck · 0.9%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 0.9%
• Wind Neos 1 deck · 0.9%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 0.9%