← 貓腳印士林店 HVN 賽季地區賽 Abyssal Heaven Regional
Fire Cinderbloom ComboTier 3
at 貓腳印士林店 HVN 賽季地區賽 Abyssal Heaven Regional
decks
3
(1.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
24
9-12-3
overall winrate
43.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.9%
avg ELO -3.8 per match
expected value
46.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1255
· median 1237
· range 959–1568
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
807
Q1 1182
Q3 1367
1694
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 25.0% | 8 | 3-4-1 | 43.8% | 45.8% | 45.7% | -2.1 |
| Wind Allies | 10.4% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 38.2% | -8.8 |
| Water Genbu | 8.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 38.5% | -11.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 43.7% | -6.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.4% | +8.6 |
| Fire Exia | 2.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.0% | -8.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.5% | -18.4 |
| Water Allies | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Tamer | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Wind Vanitas | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diao Chan | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 0.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.6 |
| Water Tera Silvie | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.9 |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Dawn of Ashes | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.8 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Zander | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Cinderbloom Combo decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
