← 貓腳印士林店 HVN 賽季地區賽 Abyssal Heaven Regional
Fire SuzakuTier 2
at 貓腳印士林店 HVN 賽季地區賽 Abyssal Heaven Regional
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 25.0% | 42 | 17-24-1 | 41.7% | 42.4% | 43.5% | -2.3 |
| Wind Allies | 10.4% | 15 | 6-8-1 | 43.3% | 44.7% | 41.4% | -3.5 |
| Water Genbu | 8.5% | 11 | 5-6-0 | 45.5% | 46.7% | 45.5% | -2.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.5% | 15 | 7-7-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.9% | -0.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.3% | 10 | 3-7-0 | 30.0% | 35.7% | 38.2% | -5.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.8% | 11 | 3-7-1 | 31.8% | 36.7% | 37.6% | -5.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.2% | +10.8 |
| Fire Exia | 2.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.6% | -11.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.9% | -4.9 |
| Water Allies | 1.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.2% | +7.0 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.9% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 64.8% | +9.5 |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 1.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 56.3% | +6.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 1.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.4% | +13.8 |
| Slimes | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +8.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.2% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 65.7% | +11.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 0.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.4% | +1.3 |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.0% | +3.2 |
| Wind Byakko | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.1% | +2.1 |
| Fire Luxem Tamer | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.6 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Wind Vanitas | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 0.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.6% | -15.7 |
| Water Diao Chan | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.8 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.7% | +15.4 |
| Water Tera Silvie | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.9% | +17.5 |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 0.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.5% | -5.3 |
| Wind Dawn of Ashes | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.4 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Zander | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 17 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 3 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 42 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 42 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shatter the Brittle | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Relic of Dancing Embers | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vermilion Decree | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Staggering Strike | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Pelagic Fatestone | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Expel the Departed | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Ignite Fate | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Cremation Ritual | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Hasty Messenger | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Fated Keepsake | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Guo Jia, Blessed Scion | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Suzaku's Command | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Veteran Blazebearer | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Flamewing Fowl | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rococo, Explosive Maven | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Arthur, Young Heir | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Demolition | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Direwolf Alpha | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Impact Hammer | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Baby Red Slime | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Beastbond Ears | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Jianye, Dawn's Keep | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Xiao Qiao, Cinderkeeper | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Embersong | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gloamspire, Black Market | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Red Hare, Unrivaled Stallion | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fatestone of Revelations | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Coiled Fatestone | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Creative Shock | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Surging Bolt | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blazing Throw | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Clumsy Apprentice | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |