← Dragon Nest x Home-run Abyssal Heaven Season Regional-Hong Kong
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Dragon Nest x Home-run Abyssal Heaven Season Regional-Hong Kong
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 30.0% | 8 | 1-7-0 | 12.5% | 25.0% | 25.2% | -11.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.0% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 45.6% | -2.5 |
| Water Genbu | 9.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -0.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.8 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.0% | -19.2 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.6% | +18.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.7% | -11.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -18.9 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Tamer | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Neos Tonoris | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.8 |
| Wind Dawn of Ashes | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 34 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 34 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honorable Vanguard | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rising Tides | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gentle Respite | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Disenchant | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Guo Jia, Chosen Disciple | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fragmented Spirit of Fire | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Incarnate Majesty | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Mystic Purifier | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Flame-Rune Swordsman | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Thunderclap | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Da Qiao, Cinderbinder | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Sudden Steel | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Fast Cure | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Fabled Emerald Fatestone | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Cremation Ritual | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Spark Alight | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Scry the Skies | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Refracting Missile | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Art of War | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Library Witch | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Increasing Danger | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Potion Infusion: Seal | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 |