← Dragon Nest x Home-run Abyssal Heaven Season Regional-Hong Kong
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Dragon Nest x Home-run Abyssal Heaven Season Regional-Hong Kong
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 30.0% | 20 | 7-11-2 | 40.0% | 41.7% | 40.3% | -3.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 9.0% | 8 | 3-3-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 59.2% | +4.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 67.5% | +16.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +0.8 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 4.0% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 67.3% | +12.9 |
| Wind Byakko | 4.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 41.5% | -6.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.0% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 30.3% | -14.7 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 40.2% | -9.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.1% | +6.6 |
| Fire Luxem Tamer | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.6% | +16.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Neos Tonoris | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.3 |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.4 |
| Water Neos | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.1 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Dawn of Ashes | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 40.7% | -8.9 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.5 |
Decklists · 8 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 21 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 21 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reclaim | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sharpen Blade | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Diablerie | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tristan, Shadowreaver | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |