← Dragon Nest x Home-run Abyssal Heaven Season Regional-Hong Kong
Fire SeiryuuTier 2
at Dragon Nest x Home-run Abyssal Heaven Season Regional-Hong Kong
decks
4
(4.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
24
6-14-4
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
35.9%
avg ELO -5.3 per match
expected value
39.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
39.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1259
· median 1258
· range 1149–1370
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1059
Q1 1180
Q3 1350
1688
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 30.0% | 11 | 4-7-0 | 36.4% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -4.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.1% | -15.2 |
| Water Genbu | 9.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.0% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 32.7% | -12.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 41.3% | -8.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.1% | +1.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | -1.7 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Tamer | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Neos Tonoris | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.2 |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Dawn of Ashes | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.6% | -2.2 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.6 |
