← Dragon Nest x Home-run Abyssal Heaven Season Regional-Hong Kong

Wind ByakkoTier 2

at Dragon Nest x Home-run Abyssal Heaven Season Regional-Hong Kong

decks
4 (4.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
22 9-11-2
overall winrate
45.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.3% avg ELO +0.9 per match
expected value
48.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1235 · median 1258 · range 1079–1345 (4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1059 Q1 1180 Q3 1350 1688
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 30.0% 7 2-4-1 35.7% 40.9% 46.5% -1.8
Fire Suzaku 12.0% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 57.2% +5.4
Water Genbu 9.0% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 8.0% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 58.5% +6.3
Wind Seiryuu 7.0% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 54.0% +3.9
Fire Crux Mage 4.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 62.0% +19.2
Fire Seiryuu 4.0% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 3.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.3% -9.2
Wind Razorgale 3.0% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 50.2% +0.3
Fire Aggro 2.0% 0
Fire Byakko 2.0% 0
Fire Arcane 1.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.3% -15.6
Fire Cinderbloom Combo 1.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.6% +13.7
Fire Luxem Tamer 1.0% 0
Fire Slimes 1.0% 0
Neos Tonoris 1.0% 0
Slimes 1.0% 0
Water Crux Mage 1.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.0% -9.7
Water Dawn of Ashes 1.0% 0
Water Neos 1.0% 0
Water Penguin Mill 1.0% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 1.0% 0
Water Tera Mage 1.0% 0
Wind Allies 1.0% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 1.0% 0
Wind Dawn of Ashes 1.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.5% -10.4
Wind Exia 1.0% 0
Wind Luxem Zander 1.0% 0
Decklists · 4 from this event

The 4 public Wind Byakko decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 42 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 42 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Cleansing Reunion +1.00 1 0 0
Reclaim +1.00 1 0 0
Perse, Relentless Raptor +1.00 1 0 0
Water Resonance Bauble -1.00 0 1 0
Uncover the Plot -1.00 0 1 0
Cyclonic Fatestone +1.00 1 0 0
Fatestone of Progress -1.00 0 1 0
Veiling Breeze +1.00 1 0 0
Liu Bei, Oathkeeper +1.00 1 0 0
Forest Cake -1.00 0 1 0
Grand Crusader's Ring -1.00 0 1 0
Expel the Departed +1.00 1 0 0
Sunblessed Gazelle +1.00 1 0 0
Beseech the Winds -1.00 0 1 0
Excalibur, Cleansing Light -1.00 0 1 0
Fractured Crown -1.00 0 1 0
Cry for Help +1.00 1 0 0
Ensnaring Fumes +1.00 1 0 0
Backup Charger -1.00 0 1 0
Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar +1.00 1 0 0
Parcenet, Royal Maid -1.00 0 1 0
Soothing Disillusion -1.00 0 1 0
Luxem Sight -1.00 0 1 0
Backstep +1.00 1 0 0
Fated Keepsake +1.00 1 0 0
Safeguard Amulet +1.00 1 0 0
Fairy Whispers +1.00 1 0 0
Bell of the Chosen -1.00 0 1 0
Break Apart -1.00 0 1 0
Brisk Windtrotter -1.00 0 1 0
Tempest Silverback -1.00 0 1 0
Zephyr -1.00 0 1 0
Ma Chao, Lupine Huntress +1.00 1 0 0
Escape the Wreckage -1.00 0 1 0
Dream Fairy -1.00 0 1 0
Scatter Essence +1.00 1 0 0
Fatestone of Heaven -1.00 0 1 0
Craggy Fatestone +1.00 1 0 0
Art of War +1.00 1 0 0
Incandescent Reliquary +1.00 1 0 0
Skirting Step +1.00 1 0 0
Beseeched Fatestone +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/21687/archetypes/Wind Byakko