← Yeti Gaming HVN Online Regional #1
Fire ExiaTier 2
at Yeti Gaming HVN Online Regional #1
decks
5
(2.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
22
6-14-2
overall winrate
31.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.9%
avg ELO -1.2 per match
expected value
41.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1206
· median 1213
· range 994–1426
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
994
Q1 1239
Q3 1441
1750
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
60% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.7% | 6 | 0-6-0 | 0.0% | 20.0% | 43.1% | -3.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.5% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 54.5% | +3.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.4% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 49.7% | -0.3 |
| Wind Allies | 8.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.0% | -2.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.5% | +5.5 |
| Water Genbu | 5.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 2.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -1.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | +9.6 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.8% | +10.8 |
| Tera Tamer | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.9 |
| Water Silvie | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.2% | -4.5 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Tamer | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Mage | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.9% | -6.5 |
| Wind Vanitas | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | -9.6 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
