← Yeti Gaming HVN Online Regional #1
Water Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Yeti Gaming HVN Online Regional #1
decks
5
(2.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
24
9-10-5
overall winrate
47.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.7%
avg ELO +0.6 per match
expected value
51.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1278
· median 1201
· range 1141–1527
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
994
Q1 1239
Q3 1441
1750
20% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
60% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.7% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.6% | +0.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.5% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 59.7% | +6.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.4% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 57.1% | +5.3 |
| Wind Allies | 8.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.1% | -9.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.0% | -4.8 |
| Water Genbu | 5.8% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 49.6% | -0.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.2 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.5% | -5.5 |
| Water Overlord | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.4 |
| Water Allies | 1.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.4% | +2.2 |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 46.7% | -3.1 |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.2% | -6.0 |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.3 |
| Wind Silvie | 1.2% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 52.6% | +2.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tera Tamer | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Tamer | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Mage | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Water Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
