← Yeti Gaming HVN Online Regional #1
Wind AlliesTier 1
at Yeti Gaming HVN Online Regional #1
decks
14
(8.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
87
51-26-10
overall winrate
64.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.4%
avg ELO +2.5 per match
expected value
57.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1342
· median 1332
· range 1171–1624
(14 pilots with an ELO rating)
994
Q1 1239
Q3 1441
1750
21% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
29% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.7% | 20 | 9-8-3 | 52.5% | 52.1% | 51.0% | +0.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.5% | 11 | 7-3-1 | 68.2% | 63.3% | 58.1% | +3.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.4% | 11 | 6-5-0 | 54.5% | 53.3% | 53.5% | +1.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.8% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 54.4% | +2.8 |
| Water Genbu | 5.8% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 58.2% | +6.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.1% | 5 | 1-2-2 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 48.7% | -0.8 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 2.9% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 61.5% | +8.6 |
| Fire Exia | 2.9% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 53.0% | +2.2 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.9% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.5% | -1.0 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.5 |
| Water Overlord | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.4% | -5.8 |
| Water Allies | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 1.8% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 59.0% | +6.7 |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.8 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.8% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.7% | -1.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.2% | +7.9 |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 43.6% | -6.1 |
| Wind Silvie | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.6% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.7% | +1.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | +9.6 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +0.9 |
| Fire Tera Mage | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tera Tamer | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.8% | +6.1 |
| Wind Luxem Tamer | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.2 |
| Wind Tera Mage | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.8 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.6 |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.5 |
Decklists · 14 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches (2 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Aesan Protector, Rose, Eternal Paragon, Huaji of Heaven's Rise. Losers more often ran: Windmill Engineer.
Aesan Protector
Winning decks ran 4.0
copies on average,
losing decks 2.7.
Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 0.
Rose, Eternal Paragon
Winning decks ran 2.3
copies on average,
losing decks 0.7.
Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 0.
Huaji of Heaven's Rise
Winning decks ran 0.7
copies on average,
losing decks 0.3.
Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in
2, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 0.
Reclaim
Winning decks ran 2.7
copies on average,
losing decks 1.7.
Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in
2, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 0.
Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa
Winning decks ran 1.3
copies on average,
losing decks 1.0.
Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in
2, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 0.
Stifling Trap
Winning decks ran 3.0
copies on average,
losing decks 1.0.
Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in
2, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 0.
Windmill Engineer
Losing decks ran 3.7
copies on average,
winning decks 1.3.
Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in
2, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 0.
Show all 64 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 49 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aesan Protector | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Staggering Strike | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Evasive Maneuvers | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Huaji of Heaven's Rise | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Displace | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mystic Purifier | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shangxiang, Fierce Princess | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Woodland Squirrels | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windrider Vanguard | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sun Ce, Weaponsmaster | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Second Wind | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Coating Oil | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Brackish Lutist | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Zephyr | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Liu Bei, Oathkeeper | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Attune with the Winds | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Inspiring Call | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Andronika, Eternal Herald | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unrelenting Warden | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Phalanx Captain | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Invective Instruction | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Kongming, Wayward Maven | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Usurp the Winds | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ardent Cloudstriker | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ventus, Staff of Zephyrs | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Landscape Corsair | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Three Visits | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wulin Lancer | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fan of Seven Debts | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Axis Gale Scholar | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bagua of Cardinal Fate | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Coronation Ceremony | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Hurricane Sweep | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Song of Nurturing | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Blademaster | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |