← Yeti Gaming HVN Online Regional #1
Fire SuzakuTier 2
at Yeti Gaming HVN Online Regional #1
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.7% | 11 | 5-6-0 | 45.5% | 46.7% | 48.1% | -0.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.5% | 10 | 2-8-0 | 20.0% | 28.6% | 41.0% | -4.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.4% | 6 | 2-4-0 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 46.8% | -1.7 |
| Wind Allies | 8.2% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 45.6% | -2.8 |
| Water Genbu | 5.8% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 47.3% | -1.7 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.5% | +8.2 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 2.9% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.8% | -1.6 |
| Fire Exia | 2.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.5% | -5.5 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.9% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.4% | -2.7 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.0% | +4.8 |
| Water Overlord | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.3% | -2.7 |
| Water Allies | 1.8% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 55.5% | +4.1 |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 1.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.8% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 47.4% | -2.5 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.1% | +6.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.7% | -3.7 |
| Slimes | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.2% | +5.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.4% | -4.1 |
| Wind Silvie | 1.2% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 59.7% | +7.2 |
| Fire Arcane | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.6 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.6% | -7.0 |
| Fire Tera Mage | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tera Tamer | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.3% | +3.6 |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.8% | -6.8 |
| Wind Arcane | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.5% | -5.5 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Tamer | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Mage | 0.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 47.4% | -2.5 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.3 |
Decklists · 10 from this event
The 10 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 48 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 48 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vermilion Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veteran Blazebearer | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Under Fire | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spurn to Ash | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fatestone of Unrelenting | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Relic of Dancing Embers | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Smoke Out | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mark the Target | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Guo Jia, Heaven's Favored | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Meltdown | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Creative Shock | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spark Alight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hasty Messenger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blazing Throw | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shatter the Brittle | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Disenchant | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Suzaku's Command | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Paws | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Coiled Fatestone | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Flamewing Fowl | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rococo, Explosive Maven | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Forgelight Blade | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Expel the Departed | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Embertail Squirrel | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Surging Bolt | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ignite Fate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Arthur, Young Heir | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Oppressive Presence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ignite the Soul | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Broken Promises | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fated Keepsake | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Flamewreath Call | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lavaplume Fatestone | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Varuckan Acolyte | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Clumsy Apprentice | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Journey's Beginning | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dire Requiem | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Impact Hammer | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |