← FTG Abyssal Heaven Regional Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at FTG Abyssal Heaven Regional Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Shadowstrike | 3 | 5.7% | 15 | 63.3% | 62.2% | 55.8% | 57.3% | 1287 | — |
| 2 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 1.9% | 6 | 66.7% | 65.1% | 55.5% | 58.7% | 1139 | ↓ low |
| 3 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 1.9% | 5 | 60.0% | 43.9% | 54.9% | 49.8% | 1349 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Allies | 6 | 11.3% | 34 | 60.3% | 52.6% | 54.7% | 50.1% | 1313 | — |
| 5 | Fire Kongming | 1 | 1.9% | 6 | 66.7% | 56.0% | 53.0% | 51.1% | 1401 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Genbu | 4 | 7.5% | 22 | 63.6% | 63.5% | 52.8% | 54.2% | 1344 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Water Seiryuu | 1 | 1.9% | 6 | 50.0% | 40.4% | 52.5% | 48.4% | 1343 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 1 | 1.9% | 6 | 50.0% | 37.3% | 52.3% | 45.2% | 1307 | — |
| 9 | Water Dawn of Ashes | 2 | 3.8% | 12 | 62.5% | 57.4% | 52.1% | 51.4% | 1297 | — |
| 10 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 1 | 1.9% | 6 | 75.0% | 59.3% | 52.1% | 51.7% | 1468 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Wind Diana | 1 | 1.9% | 6 | 50.0% | 47.5% | 50.8% | 49.4% | 1445 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Fire Exia | 1 | 1.9% | 6 | 41.7% | 52.1% | 50.4% | 52.8% | 1449 | ↑ top |
| 13 | Wind Byakko | 1 | 1.9% | 6 | 50.0% | 34.8% | 50.4% | 43.6% | 1311 | — |
| 14 | Water Fractal | 9 | 17.0% | 44 | 54.5% | 51.3% | 49.7% | 48.7% | 1298 | — |
| 15 | Fire Suzaku | 6 | 11.3% | 28 | 44.6% | 48.8% | 49.1% | 50.0% | 1268 | — |
| 16 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 3.8% | 12 | 45.8% | 50.1% | 48.8% | 49.7% | 1284 | — |
| 17 | Wind Astra Cleric | 2 | 3.8% | 11 | 40.9% | 53.9% | 46.6% | 51.0% | 1222 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1 | 1.9% | 6 | 16.7% | 33.7% | 43.6% | 44.4% | 1167 | ↓ low |
| 19 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 1.9% | 5 | 40.0% | 36.2% | 43.2% | 40.9% | 1422 | ↑ top |
| 20 | Fire Aggro | 4 | 7.5% | 20 | 35.0% | 48.5% | 42.8% | 48.5% | 1207 | ↓ low |
| 21 | Water Tonoris | 1 | 1.9% | 6 | 33.3% | 46.3% | 42.0% | 44.9% | 1153 | ↓ low |
| 22 | Water Tera Mage | 1 | 1.9% | 5 | 20.0% | 35.6% | 41.2% | 41.5% | 1355 | ↑ top |
| 23 | Water Kongming | 1 | 1.9% | 6 | 16.7% | 41.2% | 39.0% | 46.4% | 957 | ↓ low |
| 24 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 1.9% | 5 | 0.0% | 30.8% | 37.0% | 41.8% | 1074 | ↓ low |