Fire Crux HybridTier 2
at 貓腳印-桃園店 Regional
decks
5
(6.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
33
14-18-1
overall winrate
43.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.3%
avg ELO -2.0 per match
expected value
46.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1224
· median 1186
· range 1099–1482
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1069
Q1 1179
Q3 1362
1536
20% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
40% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 19.2% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 40.6% | -6.0 |
| Wind Allies | 16.4% | 7 | 4-3-0 | 57.1% | 54.5% | 55.4% | +2.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 8.2% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 35.5% | -9.3 |
| Water Allies | 8.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 48.0% | -1.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.6% | -1.4 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 6.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.4% | -5.8 |
| Fire Erupting | 4.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.8% | -4.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.3 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 4.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.4 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.7% | -5.1 |
| Fire Diana | 1.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 67.1% | +16.4 |
| Fire Lorraine | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
| Fire Neos | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 34.6% | -24.7 |
| Water Arisanna | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos Tonoris | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.7 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Hybrid | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Fire Crux Hybrid decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
