Fire DianaTier 3
at 貓腳印-桃園店 Regional
decks
1
(1.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
0-4-1
overall winrate
10.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
27.0%
avg ELO -13.3 per match
expected value
42.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1069
· median 1069
· range 1069–1069
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1069
Q1 1179
Q3 1362
1536
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 19.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.0% | -4.8 |
| Wind Allies | 16.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 8.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.1 |
| Water Allies | 8.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 32.9% | -16.4 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 6.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos Tonoris | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Hybrid | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Diana decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
