Fire Umbra RangerTier 1
at 貓腳印-桃園店 Regional
decks
5
(6.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
28
13-13-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.6%
avg ELO -0.2 per match
expected value
47.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1239
· median 1179
· range 1143–1418
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1069
Q1 1179
Q3 1362
1536
20% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
60% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 19.2% | 11 | 6-5-0 | 54.5% | 53.3% | 56.0% | +2.6 |
| Wind Allies | 16.4% | 4 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 24.4% | -16.4 |
| Fire Arcane | 8.2% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 61.7% | +7.5 |
| Water Allies | 8.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.8 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.6% | +5.8 |
| Fire Erupting | 4.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.3% | +14.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.7% | +17.1 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 4.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | +9.5 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 40.1% | -15.9 |
| Fire Diana | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.6 |
| Water Arisanna | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos Tonoris | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.7 |
| Wind Crux Hybrid | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
