Fire LorraineTier 3
at 貓腳印-桃園店 Regional
decks
1
(1.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-4-0
overall winrate
20.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
35.3%
avg ELO -8.5 per match
expected value
41.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1234
· median 1234
· range 1234–1234
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1069
Q1 1179
Q3 1362
1536
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 19.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 16.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.4 |
| Fire Arcane | 8.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.1% | -15.8 |
| Water Allies | 8.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.6 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 6.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.7 |
| Fire Diana | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos Tonoris | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Hybrid | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
