Wind Crux LorraineTier 2
at 貓腳印-桃園店 Regional
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 19.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.5% | -1.8 |
| Wind Allies | 16.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.7% | -11.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 8.2% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 47.5% | -2.4 |
| Water Allies | 8.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.8% | +20.4 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.3% | +5.1 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 6.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 41.2% | -14.1 |
| Fire Erupting | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diana | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.7 |
| Fire Neos | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.9 |
| Water Arisanna | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.2 |
| Water Neos Tonoris | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.4 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
| Wind Crux Hybrid | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 17 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 17 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reclaim | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sword of Adversity | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Exorcise Curses | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crux Sight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tactful Sergeant | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Academy Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |