← DTR Regional - Reaper Game Store
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at DTR Regional - Reaper Game Store.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Mage | 9 | 12.3% | 52 | 61.5% | 53.2% | 57.1% | 53.6% | 1335 | — |
| 2 | Water Fractal | 1 | 1.4% | 7 | 64.3% | 64.3% | 56.9% | 58.1% | 1376 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 1.4% | 8 | 62.5% | 66.3% | 56.6% | 59.3% | 1190 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Wind Arcane | 2 | 2.7% | 11 | 68.2% | 64.4% | 56.5% | 56.6% | 1410 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Aggro | 5 | 6.8% | 39 | 55.1% | 46.3% | 53.8% | 50.0% | 1334 | — |
| 6 | Wind Beast | 1 | 1.4% | 7 | 64.3% | 68.6% | 53.8% | 57.2% | 1258 | — |
| 7 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 3 | 4.1% | 23 | 58.7% | 52.2% | 50.4% | 49.2% | 1302 | — |
| 8 | Fire Suited | 2 | 2.7% | 11 | 45.5% | 52.6% | 50.2% | 52.8% | 1277 | — |
| 9 | Water Umbra Guardian | 7 | 9.6% | 45 | 54.4% | 50.9% | 50.0% | 49.0% | 1377 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Wind Allies | 2 | 2.7% | 14 | 53.6% | 58.5% | 49.5% | 51.7% | 1209 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Water Genbu | 4 | 5.5% | 21 | 57.1% | 48.9% | 49.4% | 47.9% | 1389 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 2 | 2.7% | 16 | 65.6% | 69.3% | 49.2% | 52.7% | 1284 | — |
| 13 | Wind Seiryuu | 5 | 6.8% | 32 | 51.6% | 56.2% | 49.2% | 51.6% | 1313 | — |
| 14 | Wind Shadowstrike | 10 | 13.7% | 50 | 49.0% | 49.8% | 49.1% | 50.2% | 1256 | — |
| 15 | Water Ravishing Mill | 3 | 4.1% | 17 | 47.1% | 54.2% | 46.0% | 49.5% | 1157 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Fire Suzaku | 2 | 2.7% | 14 | 35.7% | 50.8% | 46.0% | 50.9% | 1099 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Water Aetherwing | 3 | 4.1% | 23 | 50.0% | 42.5% | 45.6% | 45.0% | 1227 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Wind Umbra Ciel | 1 | 1.4% | 7 | 42.9% | 42.4% | 44.7% | 43.3% | 1368 | ↑ top |
| 19 | Fire Exia | 1 | 1.4% | 7 | 28.6% | 40.9% | 44.6% | 47.5% | 1223 | ↓ low |
| 20 | Water Allies | 6 | 8.2% | 34 | 42.6% | 45.3% | 44.1% | 45.8% | 1254 | — |
| 21 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 1.4% | 7 | 28.6% | 39.5% | 43.3% | 44.6% | 1338 | — |
| 22 | Fire Seiryuu | 1 | 1.4% | 8 | 18.8% | 31.1% | 42.6% | 43.0% | 1122 | ↓ low |
| 23 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 1.4% | 7 | 28.6% | 41.8% | 42.6% | 44.3% | 1046 | ↓ low |
| 24 | Fire Triskit | 1 | 1.4% | 7 | 28.6% | 41.8% | 42.6% | 44.3% | 1046 | ↓ low |
| 25 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 1.4% | 6 | 25.0% | 37.8% | 41.8% | 43.8% | 1239 | — |
| 26 | Water Tera Cleric | 1 | 1.4% | 5 | 10.0% | 27.8% | 41.0% | 41.4% | 1180 | ↓ low |
| 27 | Water Umbra Ranger | 1 | 1.4% | 7 | 7.1% | 23.0% | 40.4% | 41.4% | 1106 | ↓ low |
| 28 | Water Ciel | 1 | 1.4% | 1 | 0.0% | 40.2% | 40.0% | 40.2% | 1184 | ↓ low |