Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at Regionals by HASUYA
decks
4
(6.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
24
10-13-1
overall winrate
43.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.3%
avg ELO -2.9 per match
expected value
45.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1395
· median 1394
· range 1248–1542
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1025
Q1 1218
Q3 1408
1730
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 14.3% | 6 | 2-4-0 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 45.7% | -2.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.4% | -17.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 32.5% | -11.2 |
| Water Fractal | 7.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.5% | +14.9 |
| Water Genbu | 7.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.8 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 48.9% | -1.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 34.6% | -11.5 |
| Water Allies | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.4% | -4.1 |
| Fire Exia | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.7% | +18.7 |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.2 |
| Wind Allies | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.0 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
