Fire SuzakuTier 2
at GOAT DTR STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
decks
3
(6.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
17
7-10-0
overall winrate
41.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.0%
avg ELO -1.2 per match
expected value
40.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1338
· median 1315
· range 1213–1484
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1113
Q1 1274
Q3 1419
1633
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 54.5% | 7 | 2-5-0 | 28.6% | 36.4% | 41.1% | -4.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 13.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.6% | -11.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.4% | +2.3 |
| Fire Exia | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.7% | +21.9 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.1% | -17.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.0% | -6.4 |
| Fire Suited | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.1 |
| Water Fractal | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.4 |
