Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at GOAT DTR STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 54.5% | 18 | 9-6-3 | 58.3% | 56.8% | 56.4% | +2.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 13.6% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 41.1% | -5.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.4% | 7 | 2-3-2 | 42.9% | 45.5% | 45.7% | -2.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.9% | +23.9 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.9% | +20.6 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.8 |
| Fire Suited | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.4 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 6 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Cleansing Reunion, Blanche, Sheltering Saint. Losers more often ran: Heavenly Guide, Dream Fairy, Innervate Agility.
Show all 27 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Aesan Protector | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Staggering Strike | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Swift Recruit | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Innervate Agility | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Blinding Orb | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Winbless Lookout | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |