Fire RileTier 1

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

The 17 public Fire Rile decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

• Neoniclax 83 cards · placed #1
• Zefier 85 cards · placed #2
• Frashe 85 cards · placed #3
• therarely 87 cards · placed #4
• Chuwubs 85 cards · placed #6
• Drakoitzu 84 cards · placed #10
• Miaotato 85 cards · placed #12
• Zetdivx 81 cards · placed #13
• Shisamo 85 cards · placed #15
• Replagas 85 cards · placed #16
• Aqua 83 cards · placed #21
• IvanTan 83 cards · placed #23
• YooYaaMeh 80 cards · placed #24
• YongKhangg 81 cards · placed #25
• KuroNeko 83 cards · placed #27
• Zanie 83 cards · placed #35
• KongE 83 cards · placed #38

In 14 mirror matches (2 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down).

Winners more often ran: Heavenly Guide, Library Witch, Regal Inquisition. Losers more often ran: Safeguard Amulet, Crystallized Destiny, Undying Dreams.

↑ Played more by winners

Heavenly Guide

Winning decks ran 1.4 copies on average, losing decks 0.5.

Of 14 mirrors: the winner ran more in 6, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 7.

Library Witch

Winning decks ran 1.1 copies on average, losing decks 0.0.

Of 14 mirrors: the winner ran more in 5, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 9.

Regal Inquisition

Winning decks ran 2.6 copies on average, losing decks 1.4.

Of 14 mirrors: the winner ran more in 7, the loser ran more in 2, both ran the same in 5.

Backup Charger

Winning decks ran 0.9 copies on average, losing decks 0.6.

Of 14 mirrors: the winner ran more in 4, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 10.

Inert Sword

Winning decks ran 0.4 copies on average, losing decks 0.1.

Of 14 mirrors: the winner ran more in 6, the loser ran more in 2, both ran the same in 6.

Evercurrent Raider

Winning decks ran 2.6 copies on average, losing decks 1.5.

Of 14 mirrors: the winner ran more in 6, the loser ran more in 2, both ran the same in 6.

↓ Played more by losers

Safeguard Amulet

Losing decks ran 0.6 copies on average, winning decks 0.2.

Of 14 mirrors: the loser ran more in 6, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 7.

Crystallized Destiny

Losing decks ran 0.9 copies on average, winning decks 0.4.

Of 14 mirrors: the loser ran more in 7, the winner ran more in 2, both ran the same in 5.

Undying Dreams

Losing decks ran 4.0 copies on average, winning decks 3.7.

Of 14 mirrors: the loser ran more in 4, the winner ran more in 0, both ran the same in 10.

Embercrypt Burn

Losing decks ran 1.4 copies on average, winning decks 0.5.

Of 14 mirrors: the loser ran more in 5, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 8.

Grand Crusader's Ring

Losing decks ran 0.5 copies on average, winning decks 0.2.

Of 14 mirrors: the loser ran more in 5, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 8.

Blanche, Sheltering Saint

Losing decks ran 0.9 copies on average, winning decks 0.4.

Of 14 mirrors: the loser ran more in 5, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 8.