← Capybara Cards DTR Store Championship
Fire SuzakuTier 2
at Capybara Cards DTR Store Championship
decks
5
(13.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
32
13-16-3
overall winrate
45.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.9%
avg ELO +2.8 per match
expected value
47.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1245
· median 1252
· range 1147–1315
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1064
Q1 1263
Q3 1485
1633
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
80% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 44.7% | 11 | 4-6-1 | 40.9% | 43.3% | 55.3% | +2.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 28.9% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.2% | +3.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.5% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 46.4% | -2.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.5% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 58.4% | +5.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.5% | +4.3 |
| Fire Slimes | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.5% | +20.1 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 45.7% | -4.1 |
| Fire Exia | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.1% | -6.3 |
