Capybara Cards DTR Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Rile	Tier 1	17	44.7%	40-26-10	59.2%	55.1%	56.8%	54.3%	1427	—
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	11	28.9%	19-32-5	38.4%	41.3%	41.5%	43.0%	1378	—
3		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	5	13.2%	13-16-3	45.3%	57.9%	47.4%	54.9%	1245	↓ low
4		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	4	10.5%	10-14-4	42.9%	35.0%	46.3%	40.8%	1388	—
5		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	4	10.5%	17-5-4	73.1%	66.5%	63.8%	61.9%	1400	—
6		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	3	7.9%	5-7-2	42.9%	53.6%	44.5%	49.5%	1457	↑ top
7		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	3	7.9%	6-6-1	50.0%	43.2%	48.0%	45.3%	1497	↑ top
8		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	2	5.3%	6-7-4	47.1%	49.2%	47.7%	49.2%	1339	—
9		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	2	5.3%	7-10-2	42.1%	44.6%	46.8%	46.8%	1315	↓ low
10		Fire Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-4-1	43.8%	47.1%	46.0%	47.3%	1284	↓ low
11		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	2.6%	7-2-2	72.7%	65.2%	58.2%	57.0%	1493	↑ top
12		Fire Suited	Tier 2	1	2.6%	0-4-0	0.0%	41.3%	35.1%	44.5%	1064	↓ low
13		Horse and Taxes	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-3-0	50.0%	38.1%	50.0%	45.1%	1633	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Rile 17 decks · 44.7%
• Wind Shadowstrike 11 decks · 28.9%
• Fire Suzaku 5 decks · 13.2%
• Fire Aggro 4 decks · 10.5%
• Fire Crux Mage 4 decks · 10.5%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 3 decks · 7.9%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 3 decks · 7.9%
• Fire Slimes 2 decks · 5.3%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 5.3%
• Fire Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 2.6%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 2.6%