← Capybara Cards DTR Store Championship
Horse and TaxesTier 2
at Capybara Cards DTR Store Championship
decks
1
(2.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-3-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
38.1%
avg ELO -6.3 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1633
· median 1633
· range 1633–1633
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1064
Q1 1263
Q3 1485
1633
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 44.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.4% | -5.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 28.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 13.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.4% | -17.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.0% | -19.2 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.7% | +2.7 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Horse and Taxes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
