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Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
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Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 44.7% | 21 | 6-13-2 | 33.3% | 36.0% | 38.6% | -4.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 13.2% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.8% | -3.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.5% | 7 | 3-4-0 | 42.9% | 45.5% | 55.8% | +2.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.5% | 7 | 0-6-1 | 7.1% | 22.7% | 28.4% | -10.9 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.9% | 6 | 3-2-1 | 58.3% | 55.0% | 45.4% | -2.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.2% | +2.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 5.3% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 39.2% | -8.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.0% | +2.9 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.0% | +15.3 |
| Fire Exia | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.7% | -6.9 |
| Fire Suited | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 11 from this event
The 11 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Dream Fairy, Regal Inquisition, Innervate Agility. Losers more often ran: Cleansing Reunion, Verdigris Decree, Blackmarket Broker.
Show all 27 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 21 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dream Fairy | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Slice and Dice | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Stifling Trap | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tristan, Shadowreaver | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Nocturne's Oblivion | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 |