DTR Regionals @ Hobby Lords Lower Hutt

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	4	11.1%	11-11-0	50.0%	53.1%	50.5%	52.6%	1243	—
2		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	3	8.3%	10-4-2	68.8%	61.4%	52.1%	51.8%	1319	—
3		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 1	3	8.3%	10-5-0	66.7%	62.0%	54.3%	53.7%	1371	↑ top
4		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 1	2	5.6%	7-3-0	70.0%	41.2%	56.8%	46.7%	1578	↑ top
5		Fire Exia	Tier 1	2	5.6%	7-5-0	58.3%	53.6%	53.8%	52.3%	1339	↑ top
6		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	2	5.6%	1-8-0	11.1%	25.5%	40.0%	40.8%	1135	↓ low
7		Slimes	Tier 2	2	5.6%	1-8-2	18.2%	28.5%	42.7%	43.3%	1127	↓ low
8		Water Genbu	Tier 2	2	5.6%	3-6-1	35.0%	35.6%	44.0%	43.3%	1244	—
9		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	2	5.6%	7-4-1	62.5%	57.8%	52.5%	51.9%	1296	—
10		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 1	2	5.6%	8-2-3	73.1%	59.6%	56.3%	53.7%	1443	↑ top
11		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	2.8%	1-3-0	25.0%	44.9%	42.5%	46.2%	1126	↓ low
12		Fire Suited	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-4-0	33.3%	47.5%	45.7%	48.7%	1121	↓ low
13		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	2.8%	3-2-1	58.3%	52.9%	50.0%	49.5%	1232	—
14		Fire Umbra Ciel	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-5-0	28.6%	50.4%	45.1%	51.8%	921	↓ low
15		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-4-0	33.3%	43.9%	46.0%	47.8%	1211	—
16		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-3-0	40.0%	41.0%	45.5%	44.7%	1383	↑ top
17		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	2.8%	4-1-1	75.0%	58.0%	54.2%	52.3%	1401	↑ top
18		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-4-0	33.3%	43.9%	46.0%	47.8%	1211	—
19		Water Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-3-1	41.7%	46.1%	45.0%	46.3%	1291	—
20		Water Umbra Ciel	Tier 2	1	2.8%	1-6-0	14.3%	38.5%	43.1%	47.1%	1013	↓ low
21		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	2.8%	3-4-0	42.9%	48.6%	52.0%	52.6%	1117	↓ low
22		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.8%	5-1-1	78.6%	69.1%	58.7%	59.9%	1244	—
23		Wind Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.8%	3-3-0	50.0%	56.2%	50.5%	53.2%	1181	↓ low
24		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	2.8%	4-2-1	64.3%	63.3%	50.0%	52.1%	1188	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Aggro 4 decks · 11.1%
• Fire Crux Mage 3 decks · 8.3%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 3 decks · 8.3%
• Fire Crux Merlin 2 decks · 5.6%
• Fire Exia 2 decks · 5.6%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 2 decks · 5.6%
• Slimes 2 decks · 5.6%
• Water Genbu 2 decks · 5.6%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 5.6%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 2 decks · 5.6%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 2.8%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 2.8%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 2.8%
• Fire Umbra Ciel 1 deck · 2.8%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 2.8%
• Water Astra Ranger 1 deck · 2.8%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 2.8%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 2.8%
• Water Seiryuu 1 deck · 2.8%
• Water Umbra Ciel 1 deck · 2.8%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 2.8%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.8%
• Wind Lorraine 1 deck · 2.8%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 2.8%