← HP Wolvesden DTR Store Championships
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at HP Wolvesden DTR Store Championships.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Rile | 14 | 32.6% | 74 | 64.9% | 59.2% | 57.2% | 54.9% | 1389 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 2.3% | 6 | 50.0% | 57.4% | 56.1% | 58.0% | 1164 | ↓ low |
| 3 | Water Allies | 1 | 2.3% | 7 | 71.4% | 56.6% | 55.7% | 52.3% | 1345 | — |
| 4 | Fire Aggro | 3 | 7.0% | 14 | 57.1% | 56.5% | 53.5% | 55.2% | 1252 | — |
| 5 | Fire Suzaku | 2 | 4.7% | 14 | 57.1% | 54.4% | 52.7% | 53.0% | 1358 | — |
| 6 | Water Genbu | 1 | 2.3% | 10 | 60.0% | 59.3% | 52.1% | 53.9% | 1467 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Shadowstrike | 4 | 9.3% | 34 | 54.4% | 53.1% | 51.6% | 51.7% | 1328 | — |
| 8 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 2 | 4.7% | 13 | 53.8% | 55.5% | 50.0% | 51.6% | 1245 | — |
| 9 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 2.3% | 8 | 37.5% | 45.9% | 49.2% | 51.1% | 1341 | — |
| 10 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 2 | 4.7% | 15 | 46.7% | 51.6% | 47.2% | 48.9% | 1340 | — |
| 11 | Horse and Taxes | 2 | 4.7% | 9 | 55.6% | 49.4% | 46.4% | 45.8% | 1510 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Wind Umbra Diana | 1 | 2.3% | 8 | 43.8% | 47.3% | 45.9% | 47.2% | 1446 | ↑ top |
| 13 | Wind Allies | 4 | 9.3% | 25 | 36.0% | 40.5% | 45.5% | 46.6% | 1178 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Water Slimes | 1 | 2.3% | 6 | 50.0% | 52.2% | 45.4% | 47.6% | 1269 | — |
| 15 | Fire Suited | 1 | 2.3% | 9 | 44.4% | 41.6% | 45.4% | 44.7% | 1365 | — |
| 16 | Fire Byakko | 1 | 2.3% | 7 | 57.1% | 51.2% | 45.3% | 45.6% | 1472 | ↑ top |
| 17 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 2.3% | 7 | 50.0% | 53.7% | 45.3% | 47.7% | 1348 | — |
| 18 | Fire Polkhawk | 1 | 2.3% | 5 | 20.0% | 52.7% | 43.6% | 50.7% | 1041 | ↓ low |
| 19 | Wind Seiryuu | 3 | 7.0% | 12 | 37.5% | 35.7% | 42.5% | 42.2% | 1390 | ↑ top |
| 20 | Fire Crux Mage | 4 | 9.3% | 25 | 48.0% | 49.2% | 40.8% | 42.5% | 1333 | — |
| 21 | Slimes | 1 | 2.3% | 8 | 25.0% | 38.1% | 40.3% | 42.9% | 1256 | — |
| 22 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 2.3% | 7 | 28.6% | 43.7% | 40.2% | 44.3% | 1138 | ↓ low |
| 23 | Wind Umbra Ciel | 1 | 2.3% | 8 | 37.5% | 29.6% | 39.5% | 36.4% | 1467 | ↑ top |
| 24 | Wind Exia | 1 | 2.3% | 5 | 0.0% | 26.7% | 38.7% | 40.5% | 1157 | ↓ low |
| 25 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 2.3% | 4 | 0.0% | 32.3% | 34.5% | 38.6% | 1098 | ↓ low |