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Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
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Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 36.2% | 16 | 8-5-3 | 59.4% | 57.5% | 51.7% | +0.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.6% | 6 | 4-0-2 | 83.3% | 70.0% | 66.1% | +8.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.4% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.2% | +2.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.4% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.7% | -4.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.7 |
| Fire Suited | 4.3% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.5% | -1.0 |
| Water Allies | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.1% | -9.5 |
| Water Fractal | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.9% | -3.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.4% | +8.0 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.1% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 46.5% | -2.6 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.5 |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.0% | -8.0 |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Seiryuu | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Wind Exia | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 6 from this event
The 6 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 35 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 35 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orb of Sealing | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Expeditious Opening | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Beseech the Winds | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Winbless Lookout | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Shadowstrike | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Brackish Lutist | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nocturne's Oblivion | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirelle, Schwartz Queen | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Malevolent Vow | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Devouring Malice | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Arrow Trap | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |