Plenty of Games Distorted Reflections Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Rile	Tier 1	17	36.2%	48-36-7	56.6%	55.6%	54.0%	54.3%	1359	↑ top
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	6	12.8%	21-15-8	56.8%	52.2%	54.6%	52.0%	1299	—
3		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	5	10.6%	14-17-4	45.7%	42.4%	46.9%	45.0%	1284	—
4		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	4	8.5%	10-15-2	40.7%	41.2%	42.8%	43.4%	1238	↓ low
5		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	3	6.4%	9-11-3	45.7%	50.3%	43.2%	47.5%	1239	↓ low
6		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	3	6.4%	12-8-1	59.5%	57.6%	55.1%	54.8%	1379	↑ top
7		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	3	6.4%	11-8-2	57.1%	47.5%	52.8%	47.6%	1435	↑ top
8		Fire Suited	Tier 2	2	4.3%	4-9-0	30.8%	40.5%	38.4%	40.8%	1282	—
9		Water Allies	Tier 1	2	4.3%	5-6-3	46.4%	46.8%	50.2%	50.0%	1224	↓ low
10		Water Fractal	Tier 2	2	4.3%	6-9-2	41.2%	43.3%	45.4%	45.6%	1313	—
11		Wind Allies	Tier 2	2	4.3%	5-10-0	33.3%	40.5%	40.4%	43.1%	1252	—
12		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	2	4.3%	8-3-2	69.2%	60.3%	54.9%	53.4%	1394	↑ top
13		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	2.1%	1-4-0	20.0%	39.8%	37.6%	42.1%	1174	↓ low
14		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	2.1%	2-5-0	28.6%	48.9%	42.1%	47.5%	1207	↓ low
15		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	2.1%	5-1-2	75.0%	66.7%	58.4%	59.2%	1419	↑ top
16		Horse and Taxes	Tier 2	1	2.1%	7-4-0	63.6%	69.1%	55.6%	62.1%	1262	—
17		Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.1%	2-5-0	28.6%	32.9%	38.9%	37.4%	1455	↑ top
18		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.1%	2-2-1	50.0%	47.0%	52.5%	50.2%	1419	↑ top
19		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	2.1%	4-4-1	50.0%	52.4%	49.0%	51.0%	1337	—
20		Water Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	2.1%	1-5-1	21.4%	38.9%	41.6%	44.9%	1094	↓ low
21		Water Tera Kongming	Tier 2	1	2.1%	5-2-1	68.8%	60.8%	55.8%	54.5%	1250	—
22		Wind Exia	Tier 2	1	2.1%	1-4-0	20.0%	44.1%	38.7%	44.3%	1111	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Rile 17 decks · 36.2%
• Wind Shadowstrike 6 decks · 12.8%
• Fire Suzaku 5 decks · 10.6%
• Wind Astra Cleric 4 decks · 8.5%
• Fire Aggro 3 decks · 6.4%
• Fire Crux Mage 3 decks · 6.4%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 3 decks · 6.4%
• Fire Suited 2 decks · 4.3%
• Water Allies 2 decks · 4.3%
• Water Fractal 2 decks · 4.3%
• Wind Allies 2 decks · 4.3%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 4.3%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 2.1%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 2.1%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 2.1%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 2.1%
• Slimes 1 deck · 2.1%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.1%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 2.1%
• Water Seiryuu 1 deck · 2.1%
• Water Tera Kongming 1 deck · 2.1%
• Wind Exia 1 deck · 2.1%