Wind Crux LorraineTier 2
at Michigan DTR Regionals
decks
1
(1.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
6-3-1
overall winrate
65.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.0%
avg ELO +0.9 per match
expected value
50.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1415
· median 1415
· range 1415–1415
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
967
Q1 1171
Q3 1353
1750
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 43.7% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.4% | -1.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 4.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.6% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 52.3% | +2.2 |
| Water Allies | 4.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arisanna | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Zander | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Diana | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.3 |
| Wind Ciel | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
