Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	8	12.9%	18-12-4	58.8%	54.1%	52.3%	51.7%	1349	↑ top
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	7	11.3%	20-17-2	53.8%	52.8%	49.0%	49.4%	1212	↓ low
3		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	5	8.1%	11-11-2	50.0%	45.5%	50.8%	48.7%	1290	—
4		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	5	8.1%	16-11-5	57.8%	53.9%	52.4%	52.8%	1292	—
5		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	4	6.5%	12-7-3	61.4%	56.5%	51.0%	49.8%	1379	↑ top
6		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	3	4.8%	8-8-0	50.0%	54.1%	49.6%	52.0%	1312	—
7		Water Genbu	Tier 1	3	4.8%	10-6-2	61.1%	48.1%	52.5%	49.7%	1487	↑ top
8		Wind Allies	Tier 1	3	4.8%	9-7-2	55.6%	50.5%	51.1%	49.5%	1256	—
9		Fire Exia	Tier 2	2	3.2%	5-6-0	45.5%	55.5%	47.2%	51.3%	1197	↓ low
10		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	2	3.2%	2-6-3	31.8%	28.3%	44.2%	42.9%	1259	—
11		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 3	1	1.6%	2-4-0	33.3%	44.6%	41.8%	43.8%	1129	↓ low
12		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 3	1	1.6%	1-3-0	25.0%	40.9%	41.2%	45.1%	1281	—
13		Fire Diao Chan	Tier 3	1	1.6%	1-4-0	20.0%	36.6%	46.2%	47.6%	1175	↓ low
14		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 3	1	1.6%	2-4-0	33.3%	43.3%	47.5%	48.3%	1245	—
15		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	1.6%	4-2-0	66.7%	51.2%	57.1%	53.1%	1451	↑ top
16		Fire Oblation	Tier 3	1	1.6%	0-6-1	7.1%	31.3%	41.3%	43.7%	1031	↓ low
17		Fire Suited	Tier 3	1	1.6%	2-3-1	41.7%	45.9%	45.9%	46.6%	1301	—
18		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	1.6%	3-3-0	50.0%	52.8%	51.1%	52.4%	1187	↓ low
19		Slimes	Tier 2	1	1.6%	3-2-1	58.3%	56.6%	48.8%	51.8%	1237	—
20		Water Aetherwing	Tier 3	1	1.6%	2-3-1	41.7%	52.3%	44.7%	46.9%	1226	—
21		Water Allies	Tier 3	1	1.6%	2-4-0	33.3%	44.0%	39.5%	44.5%	1247	—
22		Water Crux Mage	Tier 3	1	1.6%	2-4-0	33.3%	51.4%	46.7%	51.4%	1006	↓ low
23		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	1.6%	5-1-1	78.6%	52.8%	55.8%	50.0%	1656	↑ top
24		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 3	1	1.6%	3-3-0	50.0%	49.9%	47.5%	47.6%	1231	—
25		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	1	1.6%	4-1-1	75.0%	73.2%	51.6%	55.4%	1192	↓ low
26		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 3	1	1.6%	1-5-1	21.4%	43.0%	43.7%	46.4%	1105	↓ low
27		Wind Lorraine	Tier 3	1	1.6%	1-3-1	30.0%	50.0%	45.2%	51.2%	1241	—
28		Wind Umbra Diana	Tier 3	1	1.6%	1-5-0	16.7%	34.7%	38.8%	42.9%	1087	↓ low
29		Wind Umbra Guardian	Tier 3	1	1.6%	2-4-0	33.3%	45.3%	44.2%	46.2%	1161	↓ low
30		Wind Vanitas	Tier 3	1	1.6%	3-3-0	50.0%	56.2%	43.3%	47.1%	1253	—
31		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	1	1.6%	4-1-1	75.0%	66.2%	58.1%	59.4%	1279	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 8 decks · 12.9%
• Fire Aggro 7 decks · 11.3%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 5 decks · 8.1%
• Wind Seiryuu 5 decks · 8.1%
• Water Umbra Guardian 4 decks · 6.5%
• Fire Suzaku 3 decks · 4.8%
• Water Genbu 3 decks · 4.8%
• Wind Allies 3 decks · 4.8%
• Fire Exia 2 decks · 3.2%
• Fire Slimes 2 decks · 3.2%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Diao Chan 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 1.6%
• Slimes 1 deck · 1.6%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 1.6%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 1.6%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 1.6%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 1.6%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Lorraine 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Umbra Diana 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Vanitas 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 1.6%