Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at I SCRUBBED OUT OF STEEL
decks
3
(2.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
21
7-14-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.5%
avg ELO -1.0 per match
expected value
43.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1259
· median 1228
· range 1164–1386
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1062
Q1 1232
Q3 1400
1668
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
67% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 53.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 48.8% | -0.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.7% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 48.4% | -1.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 10.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 7.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.1% | -3.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.2% | -2.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 4.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -2.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.4 |
| Wind Allies | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.5% | +2.4 |
| Fire Suited | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.8% | -3.5 |
| Slimes | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.4% | -4.1 |
| Water Aetherwing | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.4% | +2.3 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.6% | -2.3 |
| Water Fractal | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.4% | +2.3 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.0% | -3.2 |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.8% | +2.9 |
| Water Kongming | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.1% | -3.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
