Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at I SCRUBBED OUT OF STEEL
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 53.1% | 29 | 16-13-0 | 55.2% | 54.5% | 51.8% | +0.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.7% | 9 | 7-2-0 | 77.8% | 69.2% | 52.6% | +1.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 10.2% | 10 | 6-4-0 | 60.0% | 57.1% | 51.5% | +0.7 |
| Horse and Taxes | 7.8% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 51.6% | +0.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.0% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 49.0% | -0.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.0% | 8 | 5-3-0 | 62.5% | 58.3% | 54.0% | +1.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 47.6% | -2.3 |
| Fire Oblation | 4.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +0.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 46.1% | -3.7 |
| Wind Allies | 3.9% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.0 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.9% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 51.5% | +0.8 |
| Fire Exia | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.3% | +3.7 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.6% | -1.3 |
| Slimes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Allies | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.5% | +2.3 |
| Water Fractal | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.6% | +2.6 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.7% | +2.7 |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 0.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.9% | +3.0 |
| Wind Byakko | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 10 from this event
The 10 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 4 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 4 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Evercurrent Raider, Thieving Cut, Vanish from Sight. Losers more often ran: Fast Cure, Luxera's Map, Reduce to Ash.
Show all 33 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 20 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evercurrent Raider | +0.75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Thieving Cut | +0.75 | 3 | 0 | 1 | |
| Vanish from Sight | +0.50 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | -0.50 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Uncover the Plot | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Striking Illuminance | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Juggle Knives | +0.50 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Insignia of the Corhazi | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Luxera's Map | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Reduce to Ash | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Planted Explosive | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Blinding Orb | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Exploit Vulnerability | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sovereign Sanctuary | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Orb of Hubris | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tabula of Salvage | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mercenary's Blade | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scry the Skies | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |