← Yeti Gaming Webcam Server DTR Regional #2
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Server DTR Regional #2
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.1% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.5% | +1.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.2% | 5 | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 38.5% | -6.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.3% | 7 | 3-3-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.9% | +1.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.4% | 6 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 52.4% | +1.3 |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.5% | 4 | 1-1-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.3% | -2.3 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -5.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.4% | -2.7 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.5% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 52.1% | +1.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.5% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.3% | +2.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -1.5 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.7% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.4% | -3.4 |
| Fire Suited | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.1 |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 52.2% | +2.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.7% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 47.0% | -2.2 |
| Water Allies | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.5% | +4.0 |
| Water Genbu | 1.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.2% | -0.6 |
| Water Neos | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.8% | +2.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -5.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.4% | -7.4 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.5% | +4.0 |
| Wind Arcane | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 10 from this event
The 10 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 32 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 32 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hasty Messenger | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Flame-Rune Swordsman | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Crux Sight | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Sudden Steel | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Fast Cure | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Cremation Ritual | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Immolation Trap | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Smoke Out | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bandage Wound | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nascent Blast | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tome of Sorcery | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nimue, Cursed Touch | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit Blade: Ascension | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Chilling Touch | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Library Witch | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Duplicitous Replication | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incarnate Majesty | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Undying Dreams | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fluffy Shopkeep | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Annul Spell | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |