← Yeti Gaming Webcam Server DTR Regional #2

Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1

at Yeti Gaming Webcam Server DTR Regional #2

decks
5 (4.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
25 12-9-4
overall winrate
56.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.1% avg ELO -1.1 per match
expected value
52.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.9% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1374 · median 1352 · range 1215–1517 (5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1083 Q1 1281 Q3 1442 1750
40% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 20% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Lorraine 9.1% 5 3-2-0 60.0% 55.6% 48.5% -0.8
Fire Crux Mage 9.1% 4 2-2-0 50.0% 50.0% 46.7% -2.1
Wind Seiryuu 8.2% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 50.7% +0.7
Water Aetherwing 7.3% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 46.9% -4.9
Fire Aggro 6.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.6% +2.6
Wind Razorgale 5.5% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 48.0% -1.9
Wind Wakeup Combo 5.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.6% +7.4
Fire Luxem Assassin 4.5% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 46.5% -3.4
Fire Umbra Guardian 4.5% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 41.8% -7.9
Fire Firebloom Burn 3.6% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 53.4% +3.2
Fire Oblation 3.6% 0
Fire Crux Merlin 2.7% 0
Fire Suited 2.7% 0
Water Tera Mage 2.7% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 2.7% 0
Water Allies 1.8% 0
Water Genbu 1.8% 0
Water Neos 1.8% 0
Water Umbra Guardian 1.8% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 1.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.9% +6.3
Fire Aetherwing 0.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 52.2% +3.6
Fire Slimes 0.9% 0
Fire Suzaku 0.9% 0
Slimes 0.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.1% -11.0
Water Fractal 0.9% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 0.9% 0
Wind Arcane 0.9% 0
Wind Byakko 0.9% 0
Wind Neos 0.9% 0
Wind Silvie 0.9% 0
Decklists · 5 from this event

The 5 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 13 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 13 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand +1.00 1 0 0
Devouring Malice -1.00 0 1 0
Crystallized Destiny -1.00 0 1 0
Scatter Essence +1.00 1 0 0
Spirelle, Schwartz Queen -1.00 0 1 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0
Assassin's Ripper +1.00 1 0 0
Blinding Orb +1.00 1 0 0
Arrow Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Mirror -1.00 0 1 0
Zephyr -1.00 0 1 0
Innervate Agility -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/35078/archetypes/Wind Shadowstrike