← Yeti Gaming Webcam Server DTR Regional #2
Wind Wakeup ComboTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Server DTR Regional #2
decks
6
(5.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
28
17-9-2
overall winrate
64.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.7%
avg ELO +1.7 per match
expected value
54.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1436
· median 1411
· range 1343–1535
(6 pilots with an ELO rating)
1083
Q1 1281
Q3 1442
1750
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.7% | +5.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.2% | 6 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 53.0% | +1.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.7 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.4% | -7.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.8% | +2.8 |
| Fire Oblation | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.8% | -5.1 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.8% | +6.1 |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.2% | +9.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.0 |
| Water Neos | 1.8% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 51.1% | +1.1 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.9% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 44.2% | -5.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.0% | +4.9 |
| Slimes | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.3% | -7.5 |
| Wind Neos | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.6 |
| Wind Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 6 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 5 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 5 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Concealed Marksman, Water Resonance Bauble, Squallbind Pounce. Losers more often ran: Perse, Relentless Raptor, Veiled Dash, Verdigris Decree.
Concealed Marksman
Winning decks ran 3.6
copies on average,
losing decks 2.2.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in
4, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 0.
Water Resonance Bauble
Winning decks ran 1.0
copy on average,
losing decks 0.4.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 2.
Squallbind Pounce
Winning decks ran 1.2
copies on average,
losing decks 0.4.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 1.
Coronation Ceremony
Winning decks ran 2.6
copies on average,
losing decks 1.6.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 1.
Expose Darkness
Winning decks ran 1.2
copies on average,
losing decks 0.6.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in
2, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 2.
Draught of Stamina
Winning decks ran 3.6
copies on average,
losing decks 3.4.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in
2, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 2.
Perse, Relentless Raptor
Losing decks ran 4.0
copies on average,
winning decks 3.2.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 2.
Veiled Dash
Losing decks ran 1.4
copies on average,
winning decks 0.0.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 2.
Verdigris Decree
Losing decks ran 1.4
copies on average,
winning decks 0.0.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 2.
Tristan, Underhanded
Losing decks ran 0.8
copies on average,
winning decks 0.4.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 1.
Incapacitate
Losing decks ran 3.2
copies on average,
winning decks 1.6.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 1.
Steady Sharpshooter
Losing decks ran 1.4
copies on average,
winning decks 0.8.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 1.
Show all 43 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 23 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perse, Relentless Raptor | -0.60 | 0 | 3 | 2 | |
| Concealed Marksman | +0.60 | 4 | 1 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +0.60 | 3 | 0 | 2 | |
| Veiled Dash | -0.60 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -0.60 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Squallbind Pounce | +0.40 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Coronation Ceremony | +0.40 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |
| Tristan, Underhanded | -0.40 | 1 | 3 | 1 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +0.40 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| Incapacitate | -0.40 | 1 | 3 | 1 | |
| Mad Hatter, Morose Heritor | +0.40 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| Steady Sharpshooter | -0.40 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Death Essence Amulet | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.40 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Expose Darkness | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Paragon | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Draught of Stamina | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| Aether's Embrace | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Stifling Trap | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Eye of Argus | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backstep | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.20 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Zephyr | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Invective Instruction | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Aesan Protector | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | -0.20 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Scout the Land | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Shadows | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poised Bowman | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veteran Aerotheurge | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Arrow Trap | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reconnaissance Scout | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 |