← Yeti Gaming Webcam Server DTR Regional #2
Fire OblationTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Server DTR Regional #2
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Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.1% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 52.4% | +1.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +1.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.7% | -2.2 |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 54.3% | +4.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.1% | -3.7 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.2% | +5.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.8% | +1.2 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 55.9% | +5.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.9% | +3.0 |
| Water Neos | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 55.4% | +5.2 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | -10.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 0.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.9% | -5.0 |
| Water Fractal | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.9 |
| Wind Neos | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Fire Oblation decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 19 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 19 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reduce to Ash | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Fire | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sable Remnant | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Under Fire | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Undying Dreams | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Umbra Sight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slip Away | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Three of Hearts | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Devastating Blow | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Extorting Blackjack | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Devouring Malice | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Flamewreath Call | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Profane Bindings | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Library Witch | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |