← Yeti Gaming Webcam Server DTR Regional #2
Water Umbra GuardianTier 3
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Server DTR Regional #2
decks
2
(1.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
2-5-2
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.4%
avg ELO -0.7 per match
expected value
46.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1215
· median 1215
· range 1196–1233
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1083
Q1 1281
Q3 1442
1750
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.9% | +2.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 45.5% | -4.3 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.4% | +7.0 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 44.6% | -5.2 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 1.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.5% | -4.0 |
| Water Neos | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 0.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.4% | +3.8 |
| Wind Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Water Umbra Guardian decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
