← Yeti Gaming Webcam Server DTR Regional #2

Water NeosTier 3

at Yeti Gaming Webcam Server DTR Regional #2

decks
2 (1.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11 2-5-4
overall winrate
36.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.4% avg ELO -0.7 per match
expected value
45.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.7% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1206 · median 1206 · range 1153–1259 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1083 Q1 1281 Q3 1442 1750
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 100% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Lorraine 9.1% 0
Fire Crux Mage 9.1% 0
Wind Seiryuu 8.2% 3 0-3-0 0.0% 28.6% 43.1% -5.1
Water Aetherwing 7.3% 0
Fire Aggro 6.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.0% +6.4
Wind Razorgale 5.5% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 48.3% -2.7
Wind Wakeup Combo 5.5% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 48.9% -1.1
Fire Luxem Assassin 4.5% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 4.5% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 48.9% -1.7
Wind Shadowstrike 4.5% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 3.6% 0
Fire Oblation 3.6% 0
Fire Crux Merlin 2.7% 0
Fire Suited 2.7% 0
Water Tera Mage 2.7% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 2.7% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 51.2% +1.9
Water Allies 1.8% 0
Water Genbu 1.8% 0
Water Umbra Guardian 1.8% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 1.8% 0
Fire Aetherwing 0.9% 0
Fire Slimes 0.9% 0
Fire Suzaku 0.9% 0
Slimes 0.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.0% -6.3
Water Fractal 0.9% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 0.9% 0
Wind Arcane 0.9% 0
Wind Byakko 0.9% 0
Wind Neos 0.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.6% +12.2
Wind Silvie 0.9% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Water Neos decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/35078/archetypes/Water Neos