← Yeti Gaming Webcam Server DTR Regional #2
Fire Umbra GuardianTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Server DTR Regional #2
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.1% | 6 | 4-1-1 | 75.0% | 65.0% | 55.7% | +3.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.9% | -1.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.2% | 4 | 0-3-1 | 12.5% | 31.2% | 39.5% | -6.7 |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.3% | -7.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 55.5% | +5.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.2% | +7.9 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 44.1% | -5.7 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.4 |
| Fire Suited | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.0% | -8.0 |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 54.8% | +4.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Water Allies | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +8.9 |
| Water Genbu | 1.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.3% | -1.2 |
| Water Neos | 1.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.1% | +1.7 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.2% | -4.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.8 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.0% | +4.8 |
| Wind Byakko | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Fire Umbra Guardian decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 44 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 44 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condemned Trinket | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Volda, Smolder's Spite | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rictus Tiding | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Intensified Pyre | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Smashing Force | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gentle Respite | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ombreux Chevalier | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Inert Sword | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Devouring Malice | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hasty Messenger | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bulwark Sword | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Chalice of Blood | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Immolation Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Carter, Synthetic Reaper | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Disenchant | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Overpowering Defense | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Library Witch | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reverse Affliction | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flamme Sorcel | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Undying Dreams | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reckoning's Wake | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirelle, Schwartz Queen | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Expel the Departed | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lamentation's Toll | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Umbra Sight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sinistre Stab | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Overwhelming Swing | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flamewreath Call | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Varuckan Acolyte | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Soutirer Vortex | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grim Pastiche | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fiery Swing | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Annul Spell | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nocturne's Oblivion | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |