← Distorted Reflections Store Championships
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Distorted Reflections Store Championships.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 11.1% | 11 | 81.8% | 64.2% | 57.2% | 54.9% | 1464 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 5.6% | 7 | 71.4% | 56.3% | 56.7% | 53.7% | 1389 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Suited | 2 | 11.1% | 9 | 55.6% | 49.8% | 54.4% | 52.2% | 1317 | — |
| 4 | Wind Shadowstrike | 3 | 16.7% | 13 | 57.7% | 49.2% | 53.3% | 50.7% | 1337 | — |
| 5 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 5.6% | 5 | 50.0% | 64.4% | 51.8% | 56.6% | 1221 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Kongming | 1 | 5.6% | 5 | 60.0% | 54.5% | 51.7% | 52.1% | 1401 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Tera Kongming | 1 | 5.6% | 5 | 40.0% | 50.0% | 48.3% | 50.1% | 1180 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Exia | 1 | 5.6% | 4 | 37.5% | 44.6% | 47.1% | 47.4% | 1222 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Astra Ranger | 2 | 11.1% | 9 | 27.8% | 39.3% | 43.0% | 44.8% | 1251 | — |
| 10 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 3 | 16.7% | 15 | 33.3% | 41.8% | 42.4% | 45.6% | 1219 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 5.6% | 5 | 20.0% | 39.2% | 41.4% | 44.8% | 1071 | ↓ low |