← 12/20 PTM Online Regional

Wind Astra ClericTier 2

at 12/20 PTM Online Regional

decks
11 (13.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
44 12-22-10
overall winrate
38.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.1% avg ELO -1.7 per match
expected value
45.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.1% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1321 · median 1302 · range 1091–1633 (11 pilots with an ELO rating)
945 Q1 1239 Q3 1442 1694
9% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 36% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Oblation 12.3% 6 3-2-1 58.3% 55.0% 52.6% +1.4
Wind Seiryuu 8.6% 4 1-2-1 37.5% 43.8% 47.6% -1.6
Water Aetherwing 6.2% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 46.0% -3.8
Fire Umbra Guardian 4.9% 2 0-0-2 50.0% 50.0% 50.3% +0.3
Fire Firebloom Burn 3.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.7% -2.0
Water Fractal 3.7% 0
Wind Arcane 3.7% 4 0-3-1 12.5% 31.2% 42.3% -4.9
Wind Shadowstrike 3.7% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 41.5% -8.1
Fire Aetherwing 2.5% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 46.1% -3.8
Fire Aggro 2.5% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 2.5% 0
Fire Crux Merlin 2.5% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 44.8% -5.0
Fire Luxem Assassin 2.5% 0
Fire Suzaku 2.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.0% -9.6
Fire Umbra Alice 2.5% 0
Horse and Taxes 2.5% 0
Water Allies 2.5% 0
Water Chess 2.5% 3 2-0-1 83.3% 64.3% 53.7% +2.7
Water Genbu 2.5% 4 1-2-1 37.5% 43.8% 46.9% -2.0
Wind Wakeup Combo 2.5% 3 0-3-0 0.0% 28.6% 44.3% -4.2
Arcane 1.2% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 43.3% -6.4
Fire Crux Mage 1.2% 0
Fire Slimes 1.2% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 54.9% +4.7
Fire Umbra Ranger 1.2% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.5% +0.5
Umbra Alice 1.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.3% +5.3
Water Crux Assassin 1.2% 0
Water Neos 1.2% 0
Water Tera Mage 1.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 52.6% +4.2
Water Umbra Guardian 1.2% 0
Wind Slice & Dice 1.2% 0
Decklists · 11 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 33 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 33 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Ravaging Tempest +1.00 2 0 0
Astral Seal -1.00 0 2 0
Beseech the Winds +1.00 2 0 0
Meteor Strike +1.00 2 0 0
Arrow Trap -1.00 0 2 0
Zephyr -1.00 0 2 0
Scatter Essence -1.00 0 2 0
Horticounter +1.00 2 0 0
Calming Breeze +0.50 1 0 1
Mnemonic Charm -0.50 0 1 0
Fragmented Spirit of Wind +0.50 1 0 0
Stifling Trap -0.50 0 1 1
Spellshield: Astra -0.50 0 1 1
Blanche, Sheltering Saint -0.50 0 1 0
Noble Dissolution +0.50 1 0 0
Nullifying Lantern -0.50 0 1 1
Chalice of Blood -0.50 0 1 0
Lunar Seer -0.50 0 1 1
Safeguard Amulet +0.50 1 0 1
Prima Materia +0.50 1 0 0
Cometfall -0.50 0 1 1
Annul Spell +0.50 1 0 0
Stellaria Shower +0.50 1 0 0
Orb of Glitter +0.50 1 0 0
Astarte, Celestial Dawn -0.50 0 1 0
Waited Accord +0.50 1 0 0
Scout the Land +0.50 1 0 0
Mirrorbound Covenant -0.50 0 1 0
Tricastles of Lucenia -0.50 0 1 0
Lunar Conduit +0.50 1 0 0
Resolute Stand +0.00 1 1 0
Tend the Land +0.00 1 1 0
Topsy Decree +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/41279/archetypes/Wind Astra Cleric