Fire SuzakuTier 1
at Grex Store Championship
decks
2
(4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
7-2-0
overall winrate
77.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
70.6%
avg ELO +9.5 per match
expected value
57.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
58.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1347
· median 1347
· range 1317–1376
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1107
Q1 1229
Q3 1426
1624
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Oblation | 23.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +18.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 16.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.1% | +22.5 |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.4% | +14.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.5% | -4.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.4% | -16.9 |
| Wind Arcane | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.4% | +3.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.9 |
| Fire Suited | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.9% | +20.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
