Grex Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Oblation	Tier 1	10	23.8%	16-16-4	50.0%	49.4%	51.1%	50.6%	1339	—
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	7	16.7%	13-17-3	43.9%	50.6%	47.4%	50.2%	1276	↓ low
3		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	4	9.5%	5-8-2	40.0%	46.1%	46.5%	48.1%	1336	—
4		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	3	7.1%	6-8-1	43.3%	39.5%	48.4%	46.3%	1298	—
5		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	3	7.1%	5-3-1	61.1%	41.9%	54.3%	49.3%	1517	↑ top
6		Fire Suzaku	Tier 1	2	4.8%	7-2-0	77.8%	70.6%	57.0%	58.3%	1347	—
7		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	2	4.8%	2-5-2	33.3%	35.2%	44.4%	43.1%	1358	—
8		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	2	4.8%	3-6-2	36.4%	38.7%	47.7%	45.0%	1229	↓ low
9		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	2.4%	5-2-0	71.4%	74.5%	62.6%	66.7%	1227	↓ low
10		Fire Suited	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-2-1	58.3%	57.6%	47.4%	49.9%	1430	↑ top
11		Fire Umbra Alice	Tier 2	1	2.4%	0-2-0	0.0%	29.4%	40.0%	39.4%	1460	↑ top
12		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-2-1	58.3%	58.0%	56.2%	55.3%	1312	—
13		Horse and Taxes	Tier 2	1	2.4%	6-0-0	100.0%	93.5%	61.2%	65.6%	1346	—
14		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	2.4%	4-1-1	75.0%	53.8%	58.0%	53.4%	1495	↑ top
15		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	2.4%	0-2-0	0.0%	36.7%	33.3%	36.7%	1157	↓ low
16		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	1	2.4%	0-3-3	25.0%	39.8%	42.2%	44.0%	1216	↓ low
17		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-3-0	50.0%	45.8%	57.6%	54.5%	1423	↑ top
18		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-2-1	58.3%	42.8%	52.0%	46.5%	1402	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Oblation 10 decks · 23.8%
• Fire Aggro 7 decks · 16.7%
• Water Aetherwing 4 decks · 9.5%
• Fire Crux Mage 3 decks · 7.1%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 3 decks · 7.1%
• Fire Suzaku 2 decks · 4.8%
• Wind Arcane 2 decks · 4.8%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 4.8%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Umbra Alice 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 2.4%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 2.4%