← PTM Regional - Reaper Game Store
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at PTM Regional - Reaper Game Store.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Fractal | 7 | 10.6% | 47 | 68.1% | 59.3% | 57.7% | 53.4% | 1374 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Genbu | 3 | 4.5% | 19 | 65.8% | 51.4% | 55.8% | 50.8% | 1479 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 2 | 3.0% | 10 | 60.0% | 51.7% | 54.8% | 52.5% | 1326 | — |
| 4 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 1.5% | 7 | 78.6% | 58.5% | 53.0% | 50.3% | 1578 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 1 | 1.5% | 7 | 57.1% | 52.7% | 52.1% | 51.4% | 1428 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Aetherwing | 5 | 7.6% | 28 | 60.7% | 54.1% | 51.9% | 49.7% | 1295 | — |
| 7 | Fire Crux Mage | 6 | 9.1% | 36 | 58.3% | 50.6% | 51.8% | 50.2% | 1362 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Water Luxem Assassin | 1 | 1.5% | 6 | 50.0% | 47.8% | 51.2% | 49.9% | 1307 | — |
| 9 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 1.5% | 6 | 50.0% | 52.1% | 50.7% | 51.4% | 1303 | — |
| 10 | Wind Seiryuu | 6 | 9.1% | 38 | 53.9% | 55.9% | 48.9% | 50.4% | 1278 | — |
| 11 | Fire Oblation | 3 | 4.5% | 19 | 55.3% | 63.3% | 47.6% | 51.7% | 1259 | — |
| 12 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 3.0% | 12 | 54.2% | 48.9% | 47.1% | 46.8% | 1444 | ↑ top |
| 13 | Water Astra Cleric | 1 | 1.5% | 6 | 25.0% | 36.2% | 46.8% | 48.0% | 1267 | — |
| 14 | Wind Shadowstrike | 6 | 9.1% | 27 | 38.9% | 43.9% | 46.8% | 49.1% | 1301 | — |
| 15 | Fire Suited | 4 | 6.1% | 21 | 38.1% | 49.0% | 46.7% | 49.9% | 1214 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Water Ravishing Mill | 5 | 7.6% | 32 | 46.9% | 52.8% | 46.7% | 50.5% | 1163 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Water Allies | 1 | 1.5% | 7 | 42.9% | 52.9% | 46.5% | 50.1% | 1138 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Water Crux Lorraine | 1 | 1.5% | 8 | 37.5% | 44.9% | 46.5% | 48.3% | 1126 | ↓ low |
| 19 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 1.5% | 7 | 42.9% | 45.3% | 45.9% | 47.0% | 1175 | ↓ low |
| 20 | Wind Byakko | 1 | 1.5% | 7 | 42.9% | 51.7% | 45.1% | 47.8% | 1338 | — |
| 21 | Fire Exia | 1 | 1.5% | 6 | 16.7% | 33.5% | 44.0% | 45.5% | 1209 | ↓ low |
| 22 | Wind Arcane | 2 | 3.0% | 10 | 50.0% | 45.0% | 43.9% | 42.8% | 1410 | ↑ top |
| 23 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 2 | 3.0% | 8 | 25.0% | 28.5% | 43.4% | 41.6% | 1323 | — |
| 24 | Water Nico | 1 | 1.5% | 4 | 25.0% | 44.2% | 41.8% | 46.0% | 1169 | ↓ low |
| 25 | Fire Umbra Diana | 1 | 1.5% | 7 | 7.1% | 30.2% | 40.8% | 43.6% | 1016 | ↓ low |
| 26 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 1.5% | 7 | 28.6% | 41.4% | 40.4% | 42.7% | 1076 | ↓ low |
| 27 | Wind Triskit | 1 | 1.5% | 7 | 21.4% | 41.8% | 39.4% | 44.4% | 1046 | ↓ low |
| 28 | Wind Umbra Guardian | 1 | 1.5% | 7 | 21.4% | 41.8% | 39.4% | 44.4% | 1046 | ↓ low |