← [TCG] League PTM Online Grand Archive Regional NA 2/15/2026
Fire SuitedTier 2
at [TCG] League PTM Online Grand Archive Regional NA 2/15/2026
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.9% | +2.7 |
| Water Fractal | 7.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -1.0 |
| Horse and Taxes | 6.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 45.1% | -4.7 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.0% | +3.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.2 |
| Water Genbu | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.5% | +4.0 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.1% | -4.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.8% | -5.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.4% | -4.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.9 |
| Water Allies | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Alice | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.0% | -3.2 |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.5 |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 1.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.7% | -7.0 |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.5% | +5.7 |
| Water Exia | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Alice | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.0 |
| Wind Allies | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.0% | +3.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.1 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Fire Suited decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 30 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 30 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expose Darkness | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Smoke Out | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Enfeebling Orb | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Six of Spades | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Three of Hearts | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Prismspire Scepter | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Peppered Chef | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Two of Hearts | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wonderland's Reign | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Immolation Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unyielding Wraithguard | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Five of Spades | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stolen Chance | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heated Vengeance | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Arthur, Young Heir | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Five of Hearts | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Duchess, Six of Hearts | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Four of Spades | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Red Hare, Unrivaled Stallion | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Chance, Seven of Spades | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Trump Set | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |